U.S. Weight Loss Market Worth $66 Billion
Commercial Chains Rebound But Number of Dieters Falls to 97 Million
Many Millennials see Weight Watchers and Jenny Craig as your mother’s (or grandmother’s) weight loss program. It will be a challenge to change this view."
May 4, 2017: Marketdata Enterprises, Inc., a leading independent market research publisher of “off-the-shelf” studies about service industries since 1979, has released its biennial 443-page study: The U.S. Weight Loss & Diet Control Market (14th edition ). This is a complete analysis and forecast of ALL ten major segments of the U.S. diet market.
“The number of active dieters is estimated to have fallen 10% since 2015, to 97 million, due to a growing size acceptance movement and dieter fatigue. About 80% try to lose weight by themselves, but many fail and the latest CDC statistics show that we are getting fatter, not thinner. The new diet season has started strongly for the largest players such as NutriSystem and Weight Watchers.”, according to Research Director, John LaRosa.
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Major Findings:
Market Value… Marketdata estimates that the total U.S. weight loss market grew just 2.2% in 2016, from $64.9 billion to $66.3 billion. The total market is forecast to grow 2.8% in 2017.
Commercial chains are posting a strong turnaround, boosted by an 18% sales gain at NutriSystem and moderate growth at Weight Watchers in 2016, plus a strong Q1 2017. This segment of the market was worth $2.77 billion in 2016 and is forecast to grow 9.4% to $3.03 billion this year.
Meal replacements (shakes, nutrition bars) are posting strong growth and are still popular with dieters. Sales of these products will outpace the growth of OTC diet pills to 2022 (7.2% per year vs. 4.8%). This market segment is worth a combined $4.16 billion in 2016. Multi-level marketing companies such as Herbalife, Shaklee, Isagenix and more provide a significant distribution channel for these products, since they are safe, portable and inexpensive.
Prescription obesity drugs is a $615 million market that has been flat for years. Sales of the newest medications (Contrave, Belviq, Qsymia) have not gained traction due to cost, insurance coverage and very moderate weight loss. Drug company R&D has yet to produce an anti-obesity drug with blockbuster potential, constrained by slow FDA approval and side effects.
Weight loss surgeries - An estimated 201,000 were performed in the U.S. in 2016, up just 2.6%. Reimbursement for this typical $25,000 surgery remains a problem.
Medical weight loss clinics and franchises have grown in number as MDs seek to replace income lost to managed care. However, hospitals are still taking a wait and see attitude, trying to make sense of an uncertain healthcare environment and how to make a profit.
Low-calorie (diet) frozen entrée sales have been declining for years, as consumers avoid highly processed foods with artificial ingredients. However, producers such as Stouffer’s (Lean Cuisine) have turned declines into growth via new items, more natural ingredients and attractive packaging.
Diet and fitness apps - Contrary to popular belief, free diet apps such as MyFitnessPal were NOT the main reason for recent diet company woes. Usage is waning and research shows that they don’t produce lasting weight loss. Rather, the problem has been a lack of compelling programs and management/structural problems at some companies.
Diet Websites… Online dieting is worth at least $990 million, by our estimates, and WeightWatchers.com is the leader with 2016 revenue of $349 million.
Untapped Niche Markets… American diet companies will seek to boost revenues by looking at untapped or under-served markets and niches, such as: the men’s market, teen market, African-American and Hispanic markets, the diabetic market, the elderly market, the worksite-based B2B market, and overseas markets.
“In today’s competitive weight loss programs market, diet companies must serve untapped niches, sharpen their marketing, and offer consumers customization and personalization, plus a variety of programs at different price points. They’ll also need to use alternative distribution channels such as: MLM, retail healthcare mini-clinics, shopping malls, etc. In addition, they must figure out how to reach overweight Millennials and not chase aging Baby Boomers forever.”, according to John LaRosa.
About The Report
The U.S. Weight Loss & Diet Control Market, published in May 2017, is an independently researched “off-the-shelf” study. The study is 443 pages in length and contains 160 tables/charts and 35+ in-depth competitor profiles. It costs $1,895 and is also sold by individual chapters at lower cost. Available in pdf format. A free table of contents is available by email Contact: Marketdata LLC, 7210 Wareham Drive, Tampa, FL 33647, (813) 971-8080. John LaRosa is available for interviews. A 42 pp. Overview of major findings is available to the public for $99, at: www.marketdataenterprises.com.
About Marketdata
Marketdata is a private market research and consulting firm that has specialized in the tracking and analysis of the weight loss market since 1989—28 years. It has published more than 50 in-depth weight loss market studies and regularly holds teleconferences and webinars about the market. Mr. LaRosa, President, has consulted for many large and small weight loss companies, physicians, start-ups and entrepreneurs and the media. Marketdata also operates a free weight loss news website called DietBusinessWatch.com.
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- Contact Information
- John LaRosa
- Research Director
- Marketdata LLC
- (1) 813-971-8080
- john@marketdataenterprises.com
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